Solo mining odds
The chance that one machine mining alone finds a whole Bitcoin block, per day and per year, at today's difficulty. A lottery ticket, not an income.
One block is worth$250,3853.125 BTC
Difficulty140.6 T
Network hashrate1,043 EH/s
A Bitaxe-class miner1 in 15,944chance per year · 1.2 TH/s
| Model | Hashrate | Power | Chance per day | Chance per year | One block every | Power per year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitaxe Ultra 1366 Solo / lottery | 425 GH/s | 11 W | 1 in 16,442,717 | 1 in 45,018 | 45,018 years | −$4 |
| Bitaxe Supra 401 Solo / lottery | 600 GH/s | 14 W | 1 in 11,646,924 | 1 in 31,888 | 31,888 years | −$4 |
| Bitaxe Gamma 602 Solo / lottery | 1.30 TH/s | 15 W | 1 in 5,375,504 | 1 in 14,718 | 14,717 years | −$5 |
| Bitaxe Gamma 601 Solo / lottery | 1.20 TH/s | 17 W | 1 in 5,823,462 | 1 in 15,944 | 15,944 years | −$5 |
| Bitaxe Touch Solo / lottery | 1.60 TH/s | 22 W | 1 in 4,367,597 | 1 in 11,958 | 11,958 years | −$7 |
| Jingle Miner BTC Solo Lite Solo / lottery | 1.20 TH/s | 23 W | 1 in 5,823,462 | 1 in 15,944 | 15,944 years | −$7 |
| Bitaxe Gamma Duo 650 Solo / lottery | 1.63 TH/s | 26 W | 1 in 4,287,212 | 1 in 11,738 | 11,738 years | −$8 |
| Lucky Miner LV07 Solo / lottery | 1.00 TH/s | 30 W | 1 in 6,988,155 | 1 in 19,133 | 19,133 years | −$10 |
| Bitaxe Gamma Turbo Solo / lottery | 2.40 TH/s | 35 W | 1 in 2,911,731 | 1 in 7,972 | 7,972 years | −$11 |
| Braiins BMM100 Solo / lottery | 1.00 TH/s | 40 W | 1 in 6,988,155 | 1 in 19,133 | 19,133 years | −$13 |
| Braiins BMM101 Solo / lottery | 1.00 TH/s | 40 W | 1 in 6,988,155 | 1 in 19,133 | 19,133 years | −$13 |
| Lucky Miner LV07 Pro Solo / lottery | 3.00 TH/s | 50 W | 1 in 2,329,385 | 1 in 6,378 | 6,378 years | −$16 |
| NerdMiner NerdQaxe+ Solo / lottery | 2.50 TH/s | 50 W | 1 in 2,795,262 | 1 in 7,654 | 7,653 years | −$16 |
| NerdMiner NerdQaxe+ Hydro Solo / lottery | 2.50 TH/s | 60 W | 1 in 2,795,262 | 1 in 7,654 | 7,653 years | −$19 |
| Bitaxe Supra Hex 701 Solo / lottery | 4.20 TH/s | 75 W | 1 in 1,663,847 | 1 in 4,556 | 4,555 years | −$24 |
| NerdMiner NerdQaxe++ Solo / lottery | 4.80 TH/s | 76 W | 1 in 1,455,866 | 1 in 3,986 | 3,986 years | −$24 |
| NerdMiner NerdQaxe++ Hydro Solo / lottery | 4.80 TH/s | 76 W | 1 in 1,455,866 | 1 in 3,986 | 3,986 years | −$24 |
| NerdMiner NerdQaxe++ Rev 6.1 Solo / lottery | 6.00 TH/s | 103 W | 1 in 1,164,693 | 1 in 3,189 | 3,189 years | −$33 |
| NerdMiner NerdQaxe++ Hydro Rev 6.1 Solo / lottery | 6.00 TH/s | 103 W | 1 in 1,164,693 | 1 in 3,189 | 3,189 years | −$33 |
| Lucky Miner LV08 Solo / lottery | 4.50 TH/s | 120 W | 1 in 1,552,924 | 1 in 4,252 | 4,252 years | −$38 |
| Canaan Avalon Nano 3S Home | 6.00 TH/s | 140 W | 1 in 1,164,693 | 1 in 3,189 | 3,189 years | −$45 |
| Canaan Avalon Nano 3 Home | 4.00 TH/s | 140 W | 1 in 1,747,039 | 1 in 4,784 | 4,783 years | −$45 |
| Lucky Miner LV08 Pro Solo / lottery | 7.00 TH/s | 150 W | 1 in 998,308 | 1 in 2,734 | 2,733 years | −$48 |
| NerdMiner NerdOCTAxe Solo / lottery | 9.60 TH/s | 160 W | 1 in 727,933 | 1 in 1,993 | 1,993 years | −$51 |
| NerdMiner NerdOCTAxe Rev 3.1 Solo / lottery | 12.0 TH/s | 240 W | 1 in 582,347 | 1 in 1,595 | 1,594 years | −$77 |
| Bitmain Antminer S3 Home | 478 GH/s | 366 W | 1 in 14,619,570 | 1 in 40,027 | 40,026 years | −$117 |
| Heatbit Heatbit Trio Heaters | 10.0 TH/s | 400 W | 1 in 698,816 | 1 in 1,914 | 1,913 years | −$128 |
| Bitmain Antminer S5 Home | 1.16 TH/s | 590 W | 1 in 6,050,351 | 1 in 16,565 | 16,565 years | −$188 |
| Bitmain Antminer S7-LN Home | 2.70 TH/s | 697 W | 1 in 2,588,206 | 1 in 7,087 | 7,086 years | −$222 |
| Canaan Avalon Mini 3 Home | 37.5 TH/s | 800 W | 1 in 186,351 | 1 in 511 | 510 years | −$255 |
| Bitmain Antminer R4 Home | 8.70 TH/s | 845 W | 1 in 803,237 | 1 in 2,200 | 2,199 years | −$269 |
| 21energy Ofen 2 Heaters | 40.0 TH/s | 1,000 W | 1 in 174,704 | 1 in 479 | 478 years | −$319 |
| Pantech SX6 Home | 8.50 TH/s | 1,000 W | 1 in 822,136 | 1 in 2,251 | 2,251 years | −$319 |
| Bitmain Antminer V9 (4Th) Home | 4.00 TH/s | 1,027 W | 1 in 1,747,039 | 1 in 4,784 | 4,783 years | −$327 |
| Ebang Ebit E9 Home | 6.30 TH/s | 1,077 W | 1 in 1,109,231 | 1 in 3,037 | 3,037 years | −$343 |
| 21energy Ofen 2 Pro Heaters | 60.0 TH/s | 1,100 W | 1 in 116,470 | 1 in 319 | 319 years | −$351 |
| Bitmain Antminer S9 (11.5Th) Home | 11.5 TH/s | 1,127 W | 1 in 607,666 | 1 in 1,664 | 1,664 years | −$359 |
| Canaan AvalonMiner 741 Home | 7.30 TH/s | 1,150 W | 1 in 957,282 | 1 in 2,621 | 2,621 years | −$367 |
| Canaan AvalonMiner 821 Home | 11.5 TH/s | 1,200 W | 1 in 607,666 | 1 in 1,664 | 1,664 years | −$383 |
| Bitmain Antminer S9 (12.5Th) Home | 12.5 TH/s | 1,225 W | 1 in 559,053 | 1 in 1,531 | 1,531 years | −$391 |
| Bitmain Antminer S9 SE (16Th) Home | 16.0 TH/s | 1,280 W | 1 in 436,760 | 1 in 1,196 | 1,196 years | −$408 |
| Canaan AvalonMiner 841 Home | 13.6 TH/s | 1,290 W | 1 in 513,835 | 1 in 1,407 | 1,407 years | −$411 |
| Bitmain Antminer S9i (13Th) Home | 13.0 TH/s | 1,290 W | 1 in 537,551 | 1 in 1,472 | 1,472 years | −$411 |
| Bitmain Antminer S7 Home | 4.73 TH/s | 1,293 W | 1 in 1,477,412 | 1 in 4,045 | 4,045 years | −$412 |
| Bitmain Antminer S9 (13Th) Home | 13.0 TH/s | 1,300 W | 1 in 537,551 | 1 in 1,472 | 1,472 years | −$415 |
| Ebang Ebit E9+ Home | 9.00 TH/s | 1,300 W | 1 in 776,462 | 1 in 2,126 | 2,126 years | −$415 |
| Bitmain Antminer S9k (13.5Th) Home | 13.5 TH/s | 1,310 W | 1 in 517,642 | 1 in 1,418 | 1,417 years | −$418 |
| Bitmain Antminer S9i (14Th) Home | 14.0 TH/s | 1,320 W | 1 in 499,154 | 1 in 1,367 | 1,367 years | −$421 |
| Ebang Ebit E9.2 Home | 12.0 TH/s | 1,320 W | 1 in 582,347 | 1 in 1,595 | 1,594 years | −$421 |
| Bitmain Antminer S9 (13.5Th) Home | 13.5 TH/s | 1,323 W | 1 in 517,642 | 1 in 1,418 | 1,417 years | −$422 |
| Bitmain Antminer S9j (14.5Th) Home | 14.5 TH/s | 1,350 W | 1 in 481,942 | 1 in 1,320 | 1,319 years | −$430 |
| Bitmain Antminer S9 (14Th) Home | 14.0 TH/s | 1,372 W | 1 in 499,154 | 1 in 1,367 | 1,367 years | −$437 |
| Bitfily Snow Panther B1 Home | 16.0 TH/s | 1,380 W | 1 in 436,760 | 1 in 1,196 | 1,196 years | −$440 |
| Heatbit Heatbit Heaters | 14.0 TH/s | 1,400 W | 1 in 499,154 | 1 in 1,367 | 1,367 years | −$446 |
| Ebang Ebit E9i Home | 13.5 TH/s | 1,420 W | 1 in 517,642 | 1 in 1,418 | 1,417 years | −$453 |
| Bitmain Antminer T9+ (10.5Th) Home | 10.5 TH/s | 1,432 W | 1 in 665,539 | 1 in 1,823 | 1,822 years | −$457 |
| Bitmain Antminer T9 (11.5Th) Home | 11.5 TH/s | 1,450 W | 1 in 607,666 | 1 in 1,664 | 1,664 years | −$462 |
| Bitmain Antminer S11 (20.5Th) Home | 20.5 TH/s | 1,530 W | 1 in 340,886 | 1 in 934 | 933 years | −$488 |
| Bitmain Antminer T15 (23Th) Home | 23.0 TH/s | 1,541 W | 1 in 303,833 | 1 in 832 | 832 years | −$491 |
| Innosilicon T2 Terminator Home | 17.2 TH/s | 1,570 W | 1 in 406,289 | 1 in 1,113 | 1,112 years | −$501 |
Odds follow from hashrate and difficulty; every block is an independent draw, so "one block every" is an average, not a schedule. The block value is the 3.125 BTC subsidy without fees.